Trading - Blog Posts
you know those shows where they'd start with a small/worthless item like a fancy coin or a cooler or a pair of gloves, and trade up to a progressively better item, eventually getting something like a car or a TV? I want to see that but with Pokémon. start with a basic Jigglypuff, end with a shiny Rayquaza. I'd watch that.
Please, for the love of God, if anyone is willing to trade a Fennekin in violet/scarlet, I want one so badly!
#golden#mr_karoom#gold#abdulkarim_almutairi#Trading#Gold_trading (at Al Mangaf, Block 1, Kuwait) https://www.instagram.com/mr_karoom/p/CYQcLZmNJPe/?utm_medium=tumblr
$FRM absolutely destroying. Smashed over 26% today. Snap taken near HOD.
TEAM #IRONHANDS
Almost didn't post this because saying it somehow feels scammy, but the antimatter bomb that was IBIO literally moved light-years over 1000% since I posted it in the previous watchlist.
Finding stocks in heavy accumulation ranges really is life.
Unreal.
Gorgeous price action off of my TNXP alert! Moved +196%
As you know my watchlists are good for a few weeks and based on accumulation ranges, so I'll be watching the other tickers for rebounds as well.
Worth noting that every single watchlist posted since the beginning of the year contained big runners.
Confidence building.
(DeFi/crypto analysis coming soon. Big believer in the power of decentralization. Stateless, trustless, self-sovereign, rage against the machine vibes there. Last free place on the internet...and they're building a new one.)
Sweet second leg for ELGX. Up significantly since my alert. Snap taken near HOD.
Fantastic day for gold and silver. Both outperformed US equity markets by a mile during the trading session. Both are still incredibly undervalued.
Today’s runner off of the microcap swing watchlist is ELGX. Moved over 38% near HOD.
Watchlists will be posted to Stocktwits!
Find me: @offworlder
I understand the need for monetary policy based on sound/hard money. Gold and silver have had value since the beginning of human civilization. Gold is entropy resistant -- in terms of the physical properties of the element and it's capacity as a store of value. I also see money as energy. I believe the way man cooperates with fellow man (economic productivity) should be closer aligned with that which is thermodynamically sound. Why?
Because these are extraordinary times:
-Interest rates are the lowest they've ever been in 5000 years...
-A solid amount of the world is still ZIRP and NIRP.
-"Global" monetary policy warrants the use of fiat--a form of currency that has a proven track record of failure and replacement over a 1000 year timeframe.
-QE has significantly widened the divide in terms of socioeconomic stratification.
-The Lorenz Curve combined with the Gini Coefficient post-1971 are a strong indicator of fiat driven income inequality/currency instability.
-Free markets have morphed into unofficial central bank-managed markets.
-The largest asset bubbles in history are taking place right now.
-Zombie Corp Planet. That's it. That's the point.
-GLOBAL DEBT IS OUT OF THIS WORLD.
-Since the creation of the Fed in 1913, the purchasing power of the dollar has been significantly depleted.
-Fiat currency embraces monetary entropy and environmental degradation. Looks something like this:
-Fiat encourages spending rather than saving due to it's perpetual depreciation->leads to epic consumerism->leads to increase in garbage + pollution->environmental degradation
(fix the money to help fix the environment)
-Why fiat? A contributing factor is that those closest to the printing press can QUICKLY exchange fiat for an appreciating asset and grow their personal net worth. (Example: STOCKS)
Wasn’t feeling confident about the last watchlist posted, so I was pleased to see IBIO’s positive price action. IBIO was def a midday grinder. Moved +36%.
KIRK also had a decent day as it rose +11%.
AEMD is still a pretty hot play, but I am approaching the end of my watch there. Moved well over 30% today. Hope it continues launching grenades at resistance and squeezing shorts in the future.
OSMT consolidated and made a second leg surge of +12%.
JAGX call also proved effective with a round of +14%.
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I should mention that a solid amount of microcap equities are total garbage and only meant to be used for quick trades when momentum picks up from the accumulation watchlists. These assets aren’t things I’d typically INVEST in.
Still engaged in the institutional onboarding phase of OFFWORLDER TRADING LLC. Progress is being made there.
AEMD made another stunning +94% move. Snap taken at HOD. One can see the very clear consolidation prior to launch here.
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PTE smashed through resistance and picked up momentum with a rise over 45%.
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SENS: Moving average compression leading into a decent rally and consistent price action above the VWAP made for a +15% intraday rise.
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OSMT alert proved effective with a +13% move today.
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And VLRX had a good day of price action with a +12% move.
Slowly gaining confidence in the stock analysis leading to these watchlist alerts. Will be adding content about other markets soon along with a trading challenge.
Loving the efficacy of the continuation plays from the watchlists. HEXO rose another +21% intraday.
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ACB traded above the VWAP for most of the trading session. Rose over 15% today.
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OSMT was a late mover. Gained momentum after-hours with a +15% surge.
Today an antimatter bomb detonated with a name etched into its side. It read: ADAP.
This world killer reached a pinnacle of +339% since my last watchlist post. Was up over 50% pre-market and maintained tight moving average compression in that bull flag into the opening. The catalyst was “positive news,” but we know the best indicator is accumulation. A true offworlder.
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AEMD rose another +43% today as well. Absolutely beastly, mate.
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JILL caught a bid pre-market pushing it over 25% before catching all kinds of fades.
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AKRX rose over 15% today.
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HEXO is up over 11% today.
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And HOME is up over 12% right now.
VSTM packed heat right out of the gates this morning. Tested the VWAP on the 1 minute several times. Rose 50% at HOD.
Pleased to see efficacy in stock watchlist selection thus far.
HUSA was an early riser before it was faded midday. Made a move over 30% near HOD.
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JOB moved 13% today.
TEUM smashing through resistance today. Rose over 30% near HOD.
I look for microcap equities basing out in a heavy accumulation range. Takes time for them to gain momentum. My watch is over a period of weeks.
Will post charts regarding commodities, FX, crypto, DeFi, and world indices. Will post videos regarding technical analysis.
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UPDATE: NEW HOD. Rose over 70%
![Swing Trade Watchlist 0001 [01-02-20]](https://64.media.tumblr.com/396e6852489bff27cea95bd3d07bf37b/2836c5c38763050c-55/s400x600/7c0b05419c321117b182c0088736e6f5eaa011ce.gif)
#eurusd Didn't have enough demand to get back up to 1.12 before the weeks close. Had amazing timing on my long trade (Pretty rare). Banking 5% this week. 😎👍 #OANDA #fxcm #trading #trade #fx #forex #buy #priceaction #price #currency #usdjpy #usdcad #gbpusd #straightoutta #straightouttamargin #straightouttaleverage #trend #trendlines #straightouttatrendlines Btw i opened up another trading account with oanda because fxcm wouldnt give me lower leverage so i could reduce my risk and oanda offers no restrictions on lot size so i can reduce risk on my long term positions. If anyone has experience with oanda let me know what you think so far im content.
Eur/usd with a nice little setup on the hourly. Daily is trending up with a pullback to 1.11. Symmetrical triangle with a possible false breakout to the low. Forming a reversal bar.... hmmmmm #euro #eurusd #forex #foreignexchange #trade #trading #currency #priceaction
Anybody snag any of this? 😎 I haven't been trading since the Euro has been so volitile. I am happy to see some real decisive direction. My methodology doesnt work well when the markets arent trending. Euro/usd Finally trending after catching support at 1.0850 Area. #TradeForexFXCM #forex #eurusd #trendlines #priceaction #fx #currency #trading #greece #fxcm #oanda #usdjpy #usdchf #usdcad
Histogram of my trades since this day last year. Turns out i lost almost exactly the the same number of trades as i won haha... BUT my wins were of higher percentage then my losses. So what does this all mean? Keeping your losses tight and letting your winners run is how you be come #consistently #profitiable! #tradeforexfxcm #fxcm #FXCMMobile #eurusd #trading #trade #usdjpy #currency #risk #positionsize #wins #losses #trendtrading #trend #outlier
A leap of faith met with nothing but kindness
Yes actually! That was part of 51.08 I think? It was a very recent change like 2-3 minor updates ago, I think it was 2 months now? It’s significantly more balanced, and I’ve got a 5 year fort and find it really isn’t that profitable to sell food anymore. Like the only meals that sell well are masterworks with huge serving numbers, and my cooks don’t make many of those. They make plenty of masterworks, and even use stuff like flour & cheese, which used to guarantee expensive meals, and my typical prepared food barrel is like 300-500 value. A far cry from the 3000-5000 days. I still make the meals and occasionally sell 1-2 of them, but you can no longer just buy out a caravan from meals alone. As much as it hurt my early game economy, it rewards diversifying your economy, and ironically I find it’s much easier to manage my forts when I can’t use food to explode the fort’s value for huge migrant waves. It took 5 years to grow to a duchy, and I still only have a population of 140 or so dwarves, and the goblin sieges are much smaller too. Granted I do get more titans and semi-mega beast attacks, but I feel a lot less strain on my military and fort. I still only really have one squad of half-competent axedwarves defending the fort, and they’re clad in a mishmash of junk. Too busy actually building the fort than having to focus on building a strong army to defend… fancy food.
It’s ironic how much I like that change despite having definitely abused the system historically. Nowadays I run like five different industries for my economy, chief among them a “distressed” clothing chain. I just really like setting up the whole tailoring and dyeing chains
Playing Dwarf Fortress, and so are a few of my friends now, so I figured I’d document some common pitfalls I know of, and how to avoid them.
Strange Moods:
-Best way to handle these?
First, build one of each of the following workshops: Craftsdwarfshop, Carpenter’s, Stoneworker’s, forge (either kind), jewelers, glass kiln (any kind), kiln (any kind), bowyers, mechanics, leatherworks, & clothiers. This is all the different types of workshops a dwarf may claim. Don’t worry about fueling a workshop, moods don’t need fuel.
Second, ideally try to keep a supply of at least one of the following items: A boulder, a log, a block, a bone, a cloth, metal bar, an uncut gem, a tanned hide, raw glass, and a cut gem. This is roughly all materials a dwarf may demand for their artifact. Tbh, you *can* cut gems (or polish stones) when a mood occurs, but it’s easier to keep a few on hand prior. Generally they need one item based off the workshop type they claim, then the rest seems to be somewhat random/based on their likes. Each time they collect an item for their artifact, it resets the timer for insanity. Generally in my experience dwarves really tend to grab boulders a LOT. But that’s based off my total experience, my recent experience has been a lot of bars, so it depends on what the dwarf’s workshop chosen is. I’ve been having a lot more metal required because most of my artifacts have come from my metalsmiths
If they’ve been standing at the workshop for a while, bring up their menu and see if they’re crafting the object, or shouting. If they’re shouting, it will cycle through hints or outright stating what the dwarf wants for their artifact. Generally artifacts are WORTH getting a hold of because it gives the dwarf a significant skill boost & a high value item. Worst case you put it in a display case somewhere to boost room value
Animals:
-My animal starved to death!
This only happens to grazers. You need to set up a pasture somewhere with some kind of growth on the soil. At the beginning you’re going to be limited to the green surface grass. If you want to keep them underground, you’re going to have to dig into one of the caverns, which will trigger some sort of fungal growth on underground natural tiles within your fort. Surprisingly as it may seem, this is perfectly safe for your farm animals to eat. Generally a rule of thumb is, if it is egg laying, or smaller than a dog, it is not a grazer, and does not need soil/some grass like substance to survive.
-My animal starved to death in a cage. Why won’t my dwarves move it!
So, going with the above, a pasture zone must be marked, and then animals must be assigned to those areas. After setting up a pasture, click the icon with a plus over a horse to assign animals to it. Any semi-domesticated animal can be assigned to a pasture.
-Why won’t my chickens lay eggs
They need a nest box to lay eggs in. Generally place a pasture somewhere (I like to do it underground as I have yet to find a grazing egg-layer) and build nest boxes there. Dwarves will automatically harvest eggs from the boxes, including fertile ones which may make farming for leather/meat harder. You can seal the room and forbid entry until the eggs hatch, and then forbid them, or have no stockpiles accepting eggs. Then eggs will only be taken by cooks, and only when they’re cooking.
Migrants:
If you are struggling attracting migrants, a major factor is your exports. Basically fortress wealth, and wealth exported are two of the factors that determine your migrant waves, the last factor is the health of your civilization, which is basically just the population. Weirdly enough, migrants are built different, as I’ve played in dying civs (one SURFACE fort with 20 dwarves, this was the only NPC settlement for my Civ) and had migrant waves of 30+ dwarves. Basically the more high value goods you make, and the more you trade them, particularly with the home caravan, the more migrants you’ll get.
Children:
Dwarves only produce children if they’re married, and the parents have time to… get intimate. Fortunately the getting intimate is more “having idle time in a bedroom together” at which point, if it’s a married male/female pair, the female will become pregnant. The game does not display information on pregnancy at all, and all pregnant creatures will just carry on their normal business until they give birth, at which point a dwarf will abandon her current task to “seek infant” at which point they will pop out a baby, you will get a notification of this, and they will pick the child up and go back to doing tasks. Dwarves are capable of having multiples, and I have seen twins, triplets, and even a very weird case of quadruplets… which is its own story.
Trading:
Of the four types of civilizations that exist, you can trade with 3 of them. Elves trade in the spring, humans in the summer, and dwarves in the autumn. Each offer different advantages… mostly… to trading with them.
-Elves:
Generally the most annoying and least useful trading partners. Trading them anything made from wood or an animal product upsets them, instantly ending the trades, and sending them home. If this happens enough, they will declare war and begin sieging your fort. Generally elves are great for selling low-quality stone, (green) glass, or metal objects to. Silk and cloth can be safely traded, but yarn cannot. Generally it’s best practice to only trade rock, green glass, and metal objects to avoid offending them. Due to elves not sending merchant nobles to negotiate, they have no export requests for better trading, and you cannot request imports from them. Despite this, they can make an excellent source of exotic animals, cheap barrels, or offer a way to trade rock crafts for food.
-Humans
Humans know a good deal, and actually care about trade. Humans tend to reach out among the first outsider civs to trade with you. They don’t always send a merchant nobles, but once you have a baron or higher, they tend to much more frequently. Humans are amazing trading partners as they offer unique trading resources from dwarves. They have no offendable rules either, but they actually do defend their goods. They can be reliable for exporting in rare crops, seeds, or other materials, and they will happily trade you pretty much anything they have access to. So while you can’t get steel from them, you can get surface crops, more varied animals, and bladeweed dye and other fabrics.
-Dwarves
Without player intervention, you will only usually receive a Dwarven caravan from your home Civ. You can by contacting other Dwarven civs get other civs to send merchants to your fort as well. Dwarven caravans are much like human caravans, but carry steel. They also only carry crops and items unique to their Civ, which is usually pretty much exactly the same as yours. Dwarves do also send merchants to negotiate import/export deals as well, notably the outpost liaison being your factions representative.
-Getting new trading partners
Send a squad out to an uncontacted Civ and set the mission to “demand one-time tribute” civs either pay the tribute, or reject it, and it seems to have little impact on the civ’s opinion of you/your fort. Once this is done, they can start, and often do, sending caravans your way when the correct season starts.
-Getting better trade goods/merchant nobles
Traders bring more goods the more profitable trading was with you historically. So the more you trade, the more they bring. So if a trader brings nothing of interest to you, you buy nothing, and they leave, next year, they are likely to bring even LESS. So to prevent this, it can be a good idea to buy things even if they aren’t that useful. I commonly try to buy all the food I can from the merchants, as I can usually use it, and it encourages the merchants to take more items, which can end up being items like codexes/scrolls that I really want. Likewise the more successful the trades are, the more likely they are to send a noble for trade agreements. They don’t always send them though, so it is possible to miss them for a few years, even when trading seems to be going fine.
Hospitals:
-You will need a hospital before you think you do. But you do not need a Good one really. A basic hospital is something like a few beds & tables in a room together. You should also have a water source, some buckets, a textile industry, and some splints/canes. The only specialty thing you really need is a single traction bench. Just make a table, rope and mechanism, and combine them for a traction bench at a mechanics. Soap isn’t strictly necessary early on, nor is having security in the hospital. Bleeding out on the hospital floor is a major improvement to bleeding out anywhere else.
-Soap
It reduces infections and will lower mortality rates, but generally a hospital itself will do a more significant job at that. Still if you need to make it, you need at least 5 buildings roughly. Soap needs lye, which needs ash and needs to be made in an Ashery and a wood furnace respectively. Soap also needs either an oil, or a tallow. Oil is made at a screw press from certain plants, tallow is made at a kitchen from roasting fat. Fat is gathered at a butcher from butchering (animal) corpses
This is it for part 1. If there’s other questions or tips, I can do a part 2